← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Feb 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Guido Winkmann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 24% | 3.99 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Brandon Borrello · Kaiserslautern |
| 5' | 🟨 | Patrick Herrmann · Holstein Kiel |
| 24' | 🟨 | David Kinsombi · Holstein Kiel |
| 32' | ⚽ | David Kinsombi · Holstein Kiel |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Christoph Moritz · Kaiserslautern |
| 51' | ⚽ | Osayamen Osawe · Kaiserslautern |
| 81' | 🟨 | Christoph Moritz · Kaiserslautern |
| 84' | 🟨 | Johannes van den Bergh · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 4.00 |
| coach days | 8.00 | 557.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1399.45 | 1557.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.74 | -26.43 |
| eye test v1 | -1.14 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 73.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.80 |
| league points | 15.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.36 | 27.04 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |