← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Feb 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dietz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Bochum win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ (pen) | Lucas Röser · Dresden |
| 13' | 🟨 | Jan Gyamerah · Bochum |
| 30' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
| 35' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Dresden |
| 61' | 🟨 | Niklas Kreuzer · Dresden |
| 89' | ⚽ | Moussa Koné · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| coach days | 949.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.08 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1439.04 | 1447.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.32 | -46.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 26.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 24.49 | 26.23 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |