← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| Regensburg win | 20% | 4.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Holstein Kiel |
| 26' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 27' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 28' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 36' | 🟨 | Marvin Ducksch · Holstein Kiel |
| 74' | 🟨 | Rafael Czichos · Holstein Kiel |
| 74' | 🟨 | Marc Lais · Regensburg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Patrick Herrmann · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 551.00 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 217.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.04 |
| elo | 1537.46 | 1491.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.09 | 15.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 73.10 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.37 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 35.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 58.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.45 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -1.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -1.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |