← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Jablonski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.03 |
| Greuther Furth win | 16% | 6.18 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Tobias Levels · Ingolstadt |
| 33' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 70' | ⚽ | Alfredo Morales · Ingolstadt |
| 88' | ⚽ | Thomas Pledl · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 14 |
| 10 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 186.00 | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1563.21 | 1427.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.02 | 3.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| league points | 30.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 26.16 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |