← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 40% | 2.45 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 15' | ⚽ | Timo Beermann · Heidenheim |
| 16' | ⚽ | Maximilian Thiel · Heidenheim |
| 27' | 🟨 | Lasse Sobiech · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 48' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jeremy Dudziak · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 3808.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1474.93 | 1494.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.55 | 8.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.59 |
| league points | 27.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.83 | 27.13 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |