← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Feb 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Johann Pfeifer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 19% | 5.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Kevin Möhwald · Nurnberg |
| 46' | ⚽ | Kevin Möhwald · Nurnberg |
| 71' | ⚽ | Patrick Erras · Nurnberg |
| 72' | ⚽ | Cebio Soukou · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 76' | ⚽ | Tobias Werner · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 338.00 | 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1563.28 | 1404.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.54 | -22.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 40.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.71 | 26.61 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |