← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Feb 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 23% | 4.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 74' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marcel Sobottka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 80' | 🟨 | Denis Linsmayer · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 703.00 | 581.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1528.77 | 1492.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.26 | 37.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| league points | 43.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 61.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -1.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 27.33 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |