← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Jan 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 241.00 | 3559.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1417.38 | 1526.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.01 | -23.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -1.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 26.99 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |