← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Jan 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Dresden win | 32% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Haris Duljević · Dresden |
| 50' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 54' | 🟨 | Haris Duljević · Dresden |
| 54' | 🟥 | Haris Duljević · Dresden |
| 67' | 🟨 | Markus Karl · SV Sandhausen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Peniel Mlapa · Dresden |
| 80' | ⚽ | Denis Linsmayer · SV Sandhausen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Manuel Konrad · Dresden |
| 89' | 🟨 | Florian Ballas · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| coach days | 576.00 | 942.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 4.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1485.74 | 1446.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.41 | -14.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 28.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.42 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 24.33 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.56 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |