← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Jan 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Darmstadt win | 26% | 3.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Joevin Jones · Darmstadt |
| 32' | 🟨 | Joevin Jones · Darmstadt |
| 80' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Zander · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| coach days | 58.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1506.79 | 1492.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.45 | -36.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 46.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| league points | 28.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 62.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | -1.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.33 | 27.59 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |