← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Jan 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kempter, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Greuther Furth win | 28% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 148.00 | 544.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1425.35 | 1564.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.72 | -24.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 72.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| league points | 19.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.18 | 27.02 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |