← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Jan 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Ittrich, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Nurnberg win | 28% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Ewerton · Nurnberg |
| 71' | 🟨 | Toni Leistner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 77' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Toni Leistner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 83' | 🟥 | Toni Leistner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 89' | 🟥 | Philipp Hosiner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 89' | 🟥 | Edgar Salli · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 2 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 53.00 | 331.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1541.42 | 1551.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.08 | 26.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | 0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| league points | 28.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 25.52 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |