← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Wed, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Braunschweig win | 31% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
| 37' | 🟨 | Georg Teigl · Braunschweig |
| 48' | ⚽ | Denis Thomalla · Heidenheim |
| 51' | 🟨 | Kolja Pusch · Heidenheim |
| 68' | 🟨 | Gustav Valsvik · Braunschweig |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ken Reichel · Braunschweig |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jasmin Fejzić · Braunschweig |
| 83' | ⚽ | Kolja Pusch · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hendrick Zuck · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 24 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 3798.00 | 3555.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1453.57 | 1543.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.13 | -7.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 37.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -1.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.42 | 25.64 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | -1.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |