← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Wed, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Badstubner, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.97 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 17% | 5.87 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 45' | 🟨 | Adam Bodzek · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 56' | 🟨 | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 63' | ⚽ | Ridge Munsy · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 67' | 🟨 | John-Patrick Strauss · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 68' | 🟨 | Malcolm Cacutalua · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 694.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 237.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.21 |
| elo | 1472.63 | 1413.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.98 | -21.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.42 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 34.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.28 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |