← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Mon, Dec 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bibiana Steinhaus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 35% | 2.78 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Vitaly Janelt · Bochum |
| 19' | 🟨 | Yi-Young Park · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 33' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 34' | ⚽ | Lasse Sobiech · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 49' | ⚽ | Jan-Marc Schneider · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 75' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 78' | 🟨 | Johannes Flum · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Kevin Stöger · Bochum |
| 89' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 89' | 🟥 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| coach days | 17.00 | 1113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1481.50 | 1503.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.48 | 15.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.10 | 26.30 |
| state index | -1.24 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |