← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 44% | 2.23 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 28% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Patrick Herrmann · Holstein Kiel |
| 49' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 56' | 🟨 | Rafael Czichos · Holstein Kiel |
| 58' | ⚽ | Leart Paqarada · SV Sandhausen |
| 61' | 🟨 | Dominik Schmidt · Holstein Kiel |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) | Lucas Höler · SV Sandhausen |
| 63' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · SV Sandhausen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 71' | ⚽ | Richard Sukuta-Pasu · SV Sandhausen |
| 78' | ⚽ | Dominic Peitz · Holstein Kiel |
| 85' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 85' | 🟥 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marcel Schuhen · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominik Schmidt · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟥 | Dominik Schmidt · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 534.00 | 503.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1463.85 | 1584.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.19 | 4.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.83 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 71.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.80 |
| league points | 24.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.76 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.55 | 27.28 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.13 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |