← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Reichel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 44% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Darmstadt win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
| 21' | 🟨 | Wilson Kamavuaka · Darmstadt |
| 45' | ⚽ | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 60' | 🟨 | David Raum · Greuther Furth |
| 62' | 🟨 | Patrick Sontheimer · Greuther Furth |
| 64' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
| 67' | 🟨 | Hamit Altintop · Darmstadt |
| 77' | 🟨 | Roman Bezjak · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hamit Altintop · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 107.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1422.23 | 1492.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.47 | -33.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.59 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| league points | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.61 | 27.79 |
| state index | 0.06 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |