← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 24% | 4.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Mikael Ishak · Nurnberg |
| 55' | 🟨 | Phillipp Mwene · Kaiserslautern |
| 61' | ⚽ (og) | Fabian Bredlow · Kaiserslautern |
| 79' | 🟨 | Gino Fechner · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eduard Löwen · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 86.00 | 290.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1393.39 | 1560.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.16 | 24.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 11.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.61 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 24.51 | 26.51 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |