← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Bielefeld win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 14' | ⚽ | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 25' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 33' | 🟨 | Stephan Salger · Bielefeld |
| 38' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 53' | 🟨 | Marvin Knoll · Regensburg |
| 55' | 🟨 | Leandro Putaro · Bielefeld |
| 78' | ⚽ (og) | Florian Hartherz · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| coach days | 168.00 | 533.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1401.97 | 1473.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 54.84 | 23.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 25.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.60 | -0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.34 | 26.63 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.45 | -1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |