← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Dec 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 3515.00 | 654.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1556.36 | 1497.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.86 | -45.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 23.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.59 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.21 | 26.16 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.14 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |