← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Mon, Dec 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Nurnberg win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 22' | 🟨 | Patrick Kammerbauer · Nurnberg |
| 36' | 🟨 | Mikael Ishak · Nurnberg |
| 38' | 🟨 | Lukas Schmitz · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tobias Werner · Nurnberg |
| 67' | ⚽ | Tobias Werner · Nurnberg |
| 77' | ⚽ | Georg Margreitter · Nurnberg |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ewerton · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 650.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 285.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 1.40 |
| elo | 1477.52 | 1470.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.41 | 1.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| league points | 31.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 9.31 | 9.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.53 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |