← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Dec 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 19 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 11 |
| 21 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 80.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1390.00 | 1572.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.06 | 13.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 10.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.56 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.59 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 24.65 | 27.94 |
| state index | -0.83 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |