← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Heidenheim win | 31% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Maximilian Thiel · Heidenheim |
| 29' | ⚽ | Richard Magyar · Greuther Furth |
| 34' | 🟨 | Robert Glatzel · Heidenheim |
| 41' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 51' | 🟨 | Timo Beermann · Heidenheim |
| 62' | 🟨 | Mario Maloča · Greuther Furth |
| 88' | 🟨 | Lukas Gugganig · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 99.00 | 3752.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1412.52 | 1462.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.93 | 48.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.11 | 27.88 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |