← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Bochum win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Robbie Kruse · Bochum |
| 56' | 🟨 | Johannes Wurtz · Bochum |
| 63' | 🟨 | Vitaly Janelt · Bochum |
| 76' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Kevin Stöger · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| coach days | 161.00 | 1104.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1411.32 | 1494.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 74.87 | 6.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| league points | 25.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.75 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 26.14 |
| state index | 0.79 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.82 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |