β 2. Bundesliga 2017 Β· Fri, Dec 8, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Braunschweig win | 26% | 3.72 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 62' | π¨ | Dominik Schmidt Β· Holstein Kiel |
| 65' | π¨ | Jasmin FejziΔ Β· Braunschweig |
| 86' | π¨ | Dominick Drexler Β· Holstein Kiel |
| 87' | π¨ | Rafael Czichos Β· Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 3508.00 | 494.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1557.32 | 1584.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.85 | 3.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 71.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| league points | 22.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 2.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.45 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 27.02 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.36 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |