← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Mon, Dec 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 63% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.31 |
| Braunschweig win | 14% | 7.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Braunschweig |
| 26' | 🟨 | Ken Reichel · Braunschweig |
| 32' | 🟨 | Hendrick Zuck · Braunschweig |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jasmin Fejzić · Braunschweig |
| 54' | 🟨 | Almog Cohen · Ingolstadt |
| 65' | ⚽ | Suleiman Abdullahi · Braunschweig |
| 76' | ⚽ | Hendrick Zuck · Braunschweig |
| 83' | 🟨 | Christian Träsch · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 28 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| coach days | 125.00 | 3504.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1592.23 | 1537.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.72 | -10.07 |
| eye test v1 | 1.05 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 25.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.23 | 25.40 |
| state index | 1.05 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |