← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Dec 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Waschitzki, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Regensburg win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 51' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 73' | 🟨 | Wilson Kamavuaka · Darmstadt |
| 80' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 2.00 | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -2.00 |
| 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1518.25 | 1396.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.27 | 76.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.08 | 26.78 |
| state index | -0.68 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -1.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |