← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Nov 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Greuther Furth win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Ádám Pintér · Greuther Furth |
| 33' | ⚽ | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 35' | 🟨 | Roberto Hilbert · Greuther Furth |
| 39' | 🟨 | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | ⚽ | David Raum · Greuther Furth |
| 60' | 🟨 | Johannes Flum · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 62' | 🟨 | Lasse Sobiech · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 63' | 🟨 | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 63' | 🟥 | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 72' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Greuther Furth |
| 79' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 83' | 🟨 | Cenk Şahin · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 86.00 | 1076.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1413.52 | 1525.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.93 | -21.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 26.76 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |