← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Nov 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.65 |
| Darmstadt win | 14% | 7.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Grischa Prömel · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 18' | 🟨 | Sandro Sirigu · Darmstadt |
| 27' | 🟨 | Patrick Banggaard · Darmstadt |
| 29' | 🟨 | Terrence Boyd · Darmstadt |
| 38' | ⚽ | Grischa Prömel · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dennis Daube · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 51' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Darmstadt |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Sebastian Polter · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 61' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Darmstadt |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 72' | 🟨 | Hamit Altintop · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Jan Rosenthal · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 511.00 | 1819.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1578.49 | 1514.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.63 | -31.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | -1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| league points | 26.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 27.35 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |