← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Nov 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 19% | 5.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Alfredo Morales · Ingolstadt |
| 45' | ⚽ | Alfredo Morales · Ingolstadt |
| 53' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
| 55' | 🟨 | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 71' | 🟨 | Almog Cohen · Ingolstadt |
| 84' | 🟨 | Christian Träsch · Ingolstadt |
| 86' | 🟨 | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 87' | 🟨 | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 87' | 🟨 | Marcel Sobottka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 110.00 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| 628.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 1.94 |
| elo | 1502.01 | 1501.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 55.56 | 29.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.95 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 20.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 12.71 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 2.31 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |