← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Nov 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Deniz Aytekin, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Heidenheim win | 31% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Damir Kreilach · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 44' | ⚽ | Arne Feick · Heidenheim |
| 59' | 🟨 | Kristian Pedersen · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 61' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Sebastian Polter · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 66' | ⚽ | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 72' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 74' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
| 75' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 78' | 🟨 | Maximilian Thiel · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ronny Philp · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 11 | On target | 9 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 3731.00 | 505.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1430.45 | 1591.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.89 | 17.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 65.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| league points | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 26.05 |
| state index | -0.77 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |