← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Nov 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Siebert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Nurnberg win | 29% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Johannes van den Bergh · Holstein Kiel |
| 54' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 62' | ⚽ | Mikael Ishak · Nurnberg |
| 70' | ⚽ | Aaron Seydel · Holstein Kiel |
| 77' | 🟨 | Eduard Löwen · Nurnberg |
| 88' | ⚽ | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 89' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 262.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 474.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 2.13 |
| elo | 1447.68 | 1568.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.22 | 34.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 1.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 68.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 1.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| league points | 22.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 11.69 | 12.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 2.23 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.40 |
| state index | -0.44 | 1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |