← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Nov 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Darmstadt win | 25% | 3.85 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (og) | Aytaç Sulu · Braunschweig |
| 27' | 🟨 | Julius Biada · Braunschweig |
| 30' | ⚽ | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 52' | ⚽ | Wilson Kamavuaka · Darmstadt |
| 57' | 🟨 | Artur Sobiech · Darmstadt |
| 69' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
| 88' | 🟨 | Özkan Yıldırım · Braunschweig |
| 90' | ⚽ | Patrick Schönfeld · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 3474.00 | 1799.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1553.50 | 1526.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.24 | -41.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.63 |
| league points | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.25 | 27.30 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.49 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |