← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Nov 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Greuther Furth win | 31% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 20' | ⚽ | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 32' | ⚽ | Richard Magyar · Greuther Furth |
| 44' | ⚽ | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 47' | ⚽ | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
| 67' | 🟨 | Richard Magyar · Greuther Furth |
| 68' | ⚽ (og) | Richard Magyar · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| coach days | 126.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1336.44 | 1420.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.03 | -14.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 25.73 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.33 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |