← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Nov 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Nils Seufert · Kaiserslautern |
| 74' | 🟨 | Brandon Borrello · Kaiserslautern |
| 75' | 🟨 | Stefano Celozzi · Bochum |
| 80' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Diamantakos · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christoph Moritz · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 3 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 43.00 | 1068.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1398.55 | 1487.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.24 | 10.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| league points | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.83 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.46 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 23.80 | 25.45 |
| state index | -0.76 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |