← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Oct 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Braunschweig win | 27% | 3.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Gustav Valsvik · Braunschweig |
| 12' | ⚽ | Patrick Möschl · Dresden |
| 30' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
| 48' | 🟨 | Maximilian Sauer · Braunschweig |
| 60' | ⚽ | Gustav Valsvik · Braunschweig |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ken Reichel · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Louis Samson · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| coach days | 851.00 | 3468.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1460.78 | 1554.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.81 | -30.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.83 |
| league points | 16.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.48 | 25.26 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |