← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Oct 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Schroder, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Heidenheim win | 33% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Lukas Mühl · Nurnberg |
| 42' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marcel Titsch-Rivero · Heidenheim |
| 67' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Heidenheim |
| 71' | 🟨 | Eduard Löwen · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nikola Dovedan · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maximilian Thiel · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3711.00 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 242.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.29 |
| elo | 1391.89 | 1468.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.05 | 34.59 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.77 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| league points | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 8.83 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 2.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.67 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| state index | -1.30 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |