← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Oct 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Arne Aarnink, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 27% | 3.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Christoph Moritz · Kaiserslautern |
| 33' | ⚽ | Marvin Knoll · Regensburg |
| 49' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 53' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| coach days | 119.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1319.93 | 1415.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.08 | -13.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.83 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 24.38 |
| state index | -0.72 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.94 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |