← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Oct 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
| Bielefeld win | 23% | 4.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
| 11' | ⚽ | Thomas Pledl · Ingolstadt |
| 13' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
| 13' | 🟥 | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
| 14' | 🟨 | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 26' | 🟥 | Brian Behrendt · Bielefeld |
| 29' | ⚽ | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
| 68' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 84' | 🟨 | Marvin Matip · Ingolstadt |
| 85' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 86' | 🟨 | Stefan Ortega · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 483.00 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| 87.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.50 |
| elo | 1441.03 | 1475.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.52 | 12.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.32 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.27 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |