β 2. Bundesliga 2017 Β· Mon, Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 35% | 2.81 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.08 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | π¨ | Luca Zander Β· FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 49' | π¨ | Leart Paqarada Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 80' | β½ | Manuel Stiefler Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 85' | π¨ | Daniel Buballa Β· FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 89' | π¨ | Nejmeddin Daghfous Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | β½ | Jan-Marc Schneider Β· FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 479.00 | 1042.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1489.85 | 1542.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.24 | -9.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 17.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.83 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |