← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Oct 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Waschitzki, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Regensburg win | 29% | 3.42 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Dennis Kempe · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 20' | 🟥 | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 27' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Regensburg |
| 41' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 45' | 🟨 | Christian Tiffert · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 49' | 🟨 | Alexander Nandzik · Regensburg |
| 59' | ⚽ | Mario Kvesić · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 143.00 |
| venue | Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 113.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 3.43 |
| elo | 1424.17 | 1451.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.71 | -45.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| league points | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |