← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Oct 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Greuther Furth win | 19% | 5.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Peter Kurzweg · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 15' | 🟨 | Richard Magyar · Greuther Furth |
| 41' | ⚽ | Akaki Gogia · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 57' | ⚽ | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 76' | ⚽ | Simon Hedlund · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 477.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1582.13 | 1416.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.11 | -11.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.90 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 18.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 27.39 |
| state index | 0.62 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |