← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Mon, Oct 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bibiana Steinhaus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Darmstadt win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
| 23' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Nurnberg |
| 36' | 🟨 | Kevin Möhwald · Nurnberg |
| 51' | ⚽ | Mikael Ishak · Nurnberg |
| 58' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Nurnberg |
| 60' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
| 72' | ⚽ | Felix Platte · Darmstadt |
| 74' | ⚽ | Tim Leibold · Nurnberg |
| 87' | ⚽ (og) | Eduard Löwen · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 1780.00 | 229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 1.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1546.71 | 1529.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.81 | 57.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 2.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| league points | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.52 | 25.34 |
| state index | -0.29 | 1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |