← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Oct 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 29% | 3.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Fabian Kalig · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 31' | 🟨 | Manuel Torres · Greuther Furth |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jürgen Gjasula · Greuther Furth |
| 40' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Greuther Furth |
| 42' | 🟨 | Sebastian Hertner · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 64' | 🟨 | Pascal Köpke · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 74' | 🟨 | Levent Ayçiçek · Greuther Furth |
| 78' | ⚽ | Albert Bunjaku · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 80' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 87' | ⚽ | Daniel Steininger · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 23 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 44.00 | 136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1406.59 | 1457.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.12 | 15.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.90 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| league points | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.44 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.24 | 26.21 |
| state index | -0.76 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |