← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Oct 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Gräfe, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 38% | 2.58 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 76' | ⚽ | Christopher Buchtmann · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 80' | ⚽ | Cenk Şahin · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 18 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 3440.00 | 1020.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1569.74 | 1528.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.96 | -7.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| league points | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.80 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 26.51 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.41 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |