← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Oct 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Regensburg win | 23% | 4.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · SV Sandhausen |
| 37' | 🟨 | Marc Lais · Regensburg |
| 58' | 🟨 | Maximilian Jansen · SV Sandhausen |
| 65' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 67' | ⚽ | Lucas Höler · SV Sandhausen |
| 70' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Regensburg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Tim Knipping · SV Sandhausen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 84' | ⚽ | Lucas Höler · SV Sandhausen |
| 86' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Regensburg |
| 86' | 🟥 | Asger Sørensen · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| coach days | 457.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1496.52 | 1339.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.33 | 13.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 58.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 25.65 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |