← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Sep 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| Bochum win | 23% | 4.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ (og) | Manuel Riemann · Holstein Kiel |
| 26' | 🟨 | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
| 42' | ⚽ | Rafael Czichos · Holstein Kiel |
| 45' | 🟨 | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 57' | 🟨 | Johannes Wurtz · Bochum |
| 68' | ⚽ | Dominick Drexler · Holstein Kiel |
| 71' | 🟨 | Johannes Wurtz · Bochum |
| 71' | 🟥 | Johannes Wurtz · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 425.00 | 1034.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1550.73 | 1493.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.38 | 12.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.75 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.38 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 28.20 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.00 |