← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Sep 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
| Darmstadt win | 21% | 4.73 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
| 34' | 🟨 | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
| 37' | 🟨 | Immanuel Höhn · Darmstadt |
| 39' | 🟨 | Thomas Pledl · Ingolstadt |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sandro Sirigu · Darmstadt |
| 53' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 60' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 79' | ⚽ | Thomas Pledl · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 59.00 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| 1763.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 2.45 |
| elo | 1446.45 | 1456.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.88 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |