← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Mon, Sep 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 59% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 17% | 5.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 10 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 451.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1555.25 | 1428.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.21 | -43.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| league points | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | — |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.71 | 24.54 |
| state index | -0.33 | -1.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |