← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Sep 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Waschitzki, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Dresden win | 29% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 23' | ⚽ | Manuel Konrad · Dresden |
| 30' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 34' | ⚽ | Manuel Konrad · Dresden |
| 45' | 🟨 | Niklas Kreuzer · Dresden |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
| 58' | 🟨 | Florian Ballas · Dresden |
| 79' | 🟨 | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 80' | 🟨 | Kevin Großkreutz · Darmstadt |
| 80' | ⚽ | Manuel Konrad · Dresden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andreas Lambertz · Dresden |
| 90' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 1758.00 | 816.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1567.41 | 1443.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.85 | -37.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| league points | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.93 | 1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.90 | 24.67 |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | 1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |